← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.22+5.63vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.18+1.64vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+8.71vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.85+1.54vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.38+1.67vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.35vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.45-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.56-1.10vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.46+1.38vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.92-4.52vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.71-1.66vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.39-2.44vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.88-1.26vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.78-6.84vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Military Academy2.05-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
-
7.63Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
-
4.64Harvard University3.1817.5%1st Place
-
12.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.6%1st Place
-
6.54Brown University2.859.3%1st Place
-
7.67Bowdoin College2.387.1%1st Place
-
7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
-
7.2Roger Williams University2.456.6%1st Place
-
7.9Boston College2.566.0%1st Place
-
11.38Salve Regina University0.462.3%1st Place
-
6.48Yale University2.927.7%1st Place
-
10.34Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
-
10.56Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
-
12.74Connecticut College0.881.8%1st Place
-
8.16University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
-
8.32U. S. Military Academy2.055.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 29.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 32.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.