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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+4.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+5.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+1.95vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+0.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.46vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-2.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-3.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88+1.69vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-5.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-3.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Harvard University3.1815.5%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.619.2%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.228.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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7.95Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University2.928.3%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.7%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.786.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| James Paul | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 29.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 31.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.