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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+0.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.73vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+1.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.59vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-4.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-5.43vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.61-8.79vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.27-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.859.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.9211.4%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.1816.2%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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11.19Salve Regina University0.461.9%1st Place
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10.41Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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12.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.4%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University2.619.3%1st Place
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13.99Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 9.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 24.2% | 22.3% |
| James Paul | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.