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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.33vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+1.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+3.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-1.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+1.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.53vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-3.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46-0.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-5.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-0.89vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.785.7%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.618.9%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
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10.25Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.858.7%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.713.7%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.225.6%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.2%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Military Academy2.055.7%1st Place
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14.11Connecticut College0.270.4%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Kerem Erkmen | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Will Priebe | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
Peter McGonagle | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
James Paul | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Charles Bresnahan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 50.8% |
Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.