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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.42vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+1.71vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.99vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.88+3.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+0.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-4.40vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-4.81vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.67vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy2.05-6.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.227.4%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.9210.2%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University3.1815.7%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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10.32Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University2.457.9%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Military Academy2.055.1%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 30.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| James Paul | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.