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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.64vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+1.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+3.45vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+3.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.52vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.16vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-0.64vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-4.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88-0.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy2.05-6.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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6.37Yale University2.928.9%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University2.619.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University1.392.7%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.461.9%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.567.2%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.713.3%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College0.881.7%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.4%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Military Academy2.054.8%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.456.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 28.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 29.9% |
| James Paul | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.