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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.43vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.38vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+1.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.01vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-5.02vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-5.50vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.88-2.16vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Harvard University3.1817.5%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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6.37Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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11.12Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.080.8%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Military Academy2.054.5%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College0.881.7%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 33.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| James Paul | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 30.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.