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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+2.39vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.09vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+2.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.80vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88+1.66vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-4.77vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy2.05-4.46vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-6.46vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-4.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.78-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Harvard University3.1814.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.929.3%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University2.6111.0%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.565.4%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.712.6%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.5%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College0.881.7%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Military Academy2.055.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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10.39Boston University1.392.6%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 32.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 28.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| James Paul | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.