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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.38vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.43vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+1.43vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+4.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-1.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-3.45vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88-0.21vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-6.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-6.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Harvard University3.1815.8%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.387.3%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Military Academy2.055.0%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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11.17Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.455.5%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.566.8%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| James Paul | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 19.9% | 29.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.