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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+4.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+1.04vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+2.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-3.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46-0.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88-0.49vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-7.74vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.45-7.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.1816.7%1st Place
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6.84Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University1.713.3%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.565.8%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.785.3%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Military Academy2.055.2%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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12.51Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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6.26Stanford University2.617.9%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 28.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.