Race 11A

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
James Paul 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 8.8% 8.0% 6.2% 4.7% 2.7%
Sam Bruce 7.8% 6.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 6.6% 6.2% 5.7% 4.6% 2.4% 1.1%
Colleen O'Brien 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 5.3% 7.1% 7.7% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 6.7% 8.2% 7.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Teddy Nicolosi 9.8% 8.2% 9.1% 7.9% 9.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.5% 4.5% 3.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 12.3% 15.0% 13.7%
Ben Mueller 7.3% 8.1% 7.2% 7.7% 7.3% 6.3% 7.4% 7.6% 7.1% 6.1% 7.5% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8%
Thomas Hall 6.3% 7.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 9.1% 7.5% 7.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 6.3% 6.1% 5.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Michelle Lahrkamp 8.8% 10.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.5% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 5.0% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Connor Nelson 9.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.2% 7.8% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 5.7% 5.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Will Priebe 3.2% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 7.3%
Justin Callahan 15.2% 14.0% 14.9% 11.9% 10.1% 9.5% 6.0% 6.2% 4.7% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Kerem Erkmen 5.1% 5.8% 4.9% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 8.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.2%
Noah Robitshek 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 4.4% 3.4% 3.9% 4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 12.2% 11.8% 8.6%
Aidan Hoogland 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 4.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Peter McGonagle 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 7.5% 10.5% 17.8% 31.5%
Ryan Mckinney 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 12.2% 18.6% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.