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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+3.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+2.66vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+3.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+3.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-1.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.40vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-3.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-4.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-1.36vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-4.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Yale University2.929.7%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.1817.3%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University2.618.6%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.859.5%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Military Academy2.055.2%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.227.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.4%1st Place
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12.64Connecticut College0.881.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College2.385.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 30.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 28.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.