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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+5.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.89+2.83vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+5.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42-0.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+2.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+1.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02-0.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.86-0.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+0.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.53vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-4.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-2.97vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-2.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.71-2.95vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Dartmouth College2.399.6%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University2.8914.8%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.4812.3%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.4217.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University1.945.5%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.674.3%1st Place
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7.24Boston College2.026.9%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.864.1%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.065.5%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.8%1st Place
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11.15Boston University0.972.1%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College0.712.1%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Reade Decker | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 21.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.