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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.89+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+3.19vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+3.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+1.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.39-0.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61+0.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+2.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.52vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.86-3.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.71-0.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-4.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-4.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Harvard University2.4812.8%1st Place
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4.79Yale University2.4214.8%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University2.8915.2%1st Place
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7.19Boston College2.027.5%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College2.066.3%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.399.3%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.674.2%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University0.971.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.2%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.864.2%1st Place
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12.25Connecticut College0.711.2%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.2%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University1.073.0%1st Place
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11.04Boston University0.972.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 32.6% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.