Race 3B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Reade Decker 14.9% 13.7% 11.4% 11.9% 10.3% 9.3% 7.4% 6.5% 4.4% 3.5% 3.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Callahan 11.2% 12.8% 10.3% 10.3% 8.5% 9.6% 8.2% 7.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Mathieu Dale 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.2% 7.0% 6.2% 4.8% 1.8%
Ryan Satterberg 9.8% 8.5% 10.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 7.9% 7.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.6% 2.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Carmen Cowles 16.6% 12.4% 13.8% 11.9% 10.5% 9.4% 8.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Bonauto 6.8% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 8.4% 6.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Maks Groom 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 7.0% 7.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 3.9% 2.3%
Wade Anthony 1.7% 2.5% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 8.8% 10.8% 15.8% 23.2%
Jack Redmond 7.4% 8.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.5% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.4% 7.7% 6.8% 6.7% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4%
John Eastman 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 4.8% 6.3% 5.9% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.6% 9.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.8% 5.1% 2.4%
Miles Williams 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.6% 9.0% 7.3% 4.6%
Leyton Borcherding 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.9% 8.4% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 6.5% 4.6% 1.9%
Bradley Whiteway 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 8.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 6.2%
Joshua Dillon 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.5% 3.8% 4.2% 3.6% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 9.7% 10.8% 12.3% 10.7%
Olivia Lowthian 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.7% 3.8% 5.3% 8.5% 8.9% 18.0% 32.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 13.0% 12.7% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.