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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+3.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+6.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.66vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.71+6.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48-0.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.39-0.47vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-0.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-1.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-0.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-4.63vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-4.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-5.68vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Stanford University2.8914.3%1st Place
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8.54Brown University1.864.2%1st Place
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4.54Yale University2.4217.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.5%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College0.711.5%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University2.4812.4%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College2.399.2%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.066.8%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.946.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.026.9%1st Place
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11.14Boston University0.971.7%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University0.971.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 22.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.