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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+4.61vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+5.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.89-0.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+2.36vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.39+2.99vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67+0.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.71+3.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.02-3.69vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.39-5.40vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.86-4.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-5.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Harvard University2.4811.3%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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4.65Yale University2.4216.6%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University2.8914.8%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University1.945.1%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.394.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.674.8%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College0.711.7%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.026.5%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College2.397.8%1st Place
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8.52Brown University1.864.9%1st Place
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11.18Boston University0.973.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island1.424.4%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Reade Decker | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Everett Nash | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.