← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.42+3.62vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.06+5.61vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.62vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.48+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.89-0.23vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.67+2.69vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+3.09vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.71+4.08vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.86-1.42vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.94-2.59vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.02-4.57vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.39-6.55vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.42-5.09vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.97-2.12vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.97-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62Yale University2.4216.8%1st Place
-
7.61Bowdoin College2.066.1%1st Place
-
8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
-
5.66Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
-
4.77Stanford University2.8914.8%1st Place
-
8.69Tufts University1.675.4%1st Place
-
10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.4%1st Place
-
12.08Connecticut College0.712.1%1st Place
-
10.08Northeastern University1.393.5%1st Place
-
8.58Brown University1.864.8%1st Place
-
8.41Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
-
7.43Boston College2.026.6%1st Place
-
6.45Dartmouth College2.398.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
-
12.88Salve Regina University0.971.1%1st Place
-
11.12Boston University0.972.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 16.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 23.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 35.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.