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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+4.46vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+9.10vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+2.91vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+3.37vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+5.14vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.22+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego2.19+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.17-1.23vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.81-1.68vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.41+2.91vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.81+0.63vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-3.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.79-1.64vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay1.64-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.83-3.86vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.44-3.29vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.94vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-16.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Stanford University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.44California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.37California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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11.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.83Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at San Diego2.190.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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6.44California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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10.32Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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15.91California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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14.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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11.57Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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10.91California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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15.71Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Silberman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 16.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.