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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+4.38vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+5.56vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.39+3.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.90vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39+4.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.94+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42+0.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-2.29vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-4.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-1.98vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-6.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.71-2.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Stanford University2.7212.8%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.066.7%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.398.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.393.6%1st Place
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4.7Yale University2.4215.6%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University1.945.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.2%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.674.2%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.227.2%1st Place
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11.02Boston University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.028.2%1st Place
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12.18Connecticut College0.711.8%1st Place
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12.96Salve Regina University0.971.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Mason Stang | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 23.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.