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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.67+7.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.72+2.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+4.05vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.68vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.39-1.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+2.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.39+0.11vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-6.41vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-4.44vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-5.41vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.38-1.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-5.36vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Tufts University1.674.9%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.4810.4%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University2.7213.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University1.944.8%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.027.9%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.8%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College2.398.6%1st Place
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11.17Boston University0.972.2%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.393.4%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.4215.7%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.225.8%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College0.381.3%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.3%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University0.971.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 31.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.