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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.18+10.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+3.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+0.98vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.20+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.57+4.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+3.06vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.69-1.81vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.62+2.39vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.66-3.40vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.36+3.22vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.77-2.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.13-0.56vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-3.19vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.17-4.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.44-5.84vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.33-4.19vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-11.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.92University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.98Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
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7.27Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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9.44California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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14.39Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.0%1st Place
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12.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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18.22University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.51Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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16.44University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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15.81California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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15.92California State University Monterey Bay0.170.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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17.81University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Hayes | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mallory Schluter | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 18.7% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Miller | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 27.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Goodman | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Caitiln Westemeier | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 27.2% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.