← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.14vs Predicted
-
2Washington College0.20+10.54vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University-1.38+2.81vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University0.93+4.72vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University0.62+4.76vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.22+0.47vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.77+1.62vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.14-0.48vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.99-1.13vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.13-0.64vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University0.95-1.65vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.69-6.03vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.68vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin0.70-3.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.13-2.53vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.78vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University-0.84-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.7%1st Place
-
12.54Washington College0.202.0%1st Place
-
5.81Jacksonville University-1.3811.6%1st Place
-
8.72George Washington University0.935.9%1st Place
-
9.76Roger Williams University0.624.0%1st Place
-
6.47Northeastern University1.2210.4%1st Place
-
8.62Florida State University0.776.0%1st Place
-
7.52Boston University1.147.6%1st Place
-
7.87University of Rhode Island0.997.0%1st Place
-
9.36Fordham University1.135.1%1st Place
-
9.35Old Dominion University0.954.3%1st Place
-
5.97Brown University1.6911.8%1st Place
-
9.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.2%1st Place
-
10.08University of Wisconsin0.703.4%1st Place
-
12.47University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
-
11.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.3%1st Place
-
10.79Christopher Newport University-0.842.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.1% |
| Emily Allen | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 24.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.