← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.23+2.68vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+6.38vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University2.20+3.94vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.66+5.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.69+4.13vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.57+3.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.57-1.42vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.91vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.77+3.36vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-2.51vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay1.69-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.24vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine1.35-3.00vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University0.62-0.74vs Predicted
-
15California State University Monterey Bay0.17-0.43vs Predicted
-
16California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.56vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley0.13-2.26vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.26vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.68Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
-
8.38University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
-
6.94Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.13University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.25University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.58University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
12.36Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.49University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
-
8.82California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.26Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
-
14.57California State University Monterey Bay0.170.0%1st Place
-
14.44California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
14.74University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
-
13.74University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 22.6% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mallory Schluter | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Cowley | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Caitiln Westemeier | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 22.6% |
| Alexander Webster | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 18.5% |
| Kelly Goodman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 22.2% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.