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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+8.42vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.77+6.56vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+2.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+7.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.05vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+0.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99-0.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62-0.28vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.20+1.32vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-3.06vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.44vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-6.63vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University-0.84-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Old Dominion University0.955.0%1st Place
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8.56Florida State University0.775.7%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University-1.3812.3%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.8%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University1.229.6%1st Place
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5.94Brown University1.6911.6%1st Place
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7.93University of Rhode Island0.996.6%1st Place
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7.74Boston University1.147.3%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University0.624.9%1st Place
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12.32Washington College0.201.9%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University0.936.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Wisconsin0.704.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.2%1st Place
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12.56University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University1.134.7%1st Place
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10.78Christopher Newport University-0.843.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Allen | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 21.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 23.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Laura Smith | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.