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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.65vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.57+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-0.76vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.77+4.82vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.69+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.35+0.57vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.41vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.66-3.28vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.46vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.49vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.62-3.64vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-3.23vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.84vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley0.13-5.09vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.56Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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11.82Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Southern California1.690.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.53California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.0%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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12.36Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.77California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 22.4% | 21.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.