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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+4.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.18vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+5.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.77vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+2.47vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99-0.18vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.60vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-0.58vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.78vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.20+0.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.62-4.97vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-5.84vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Jacksonville University-1.3811.4%1st Place
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6.18Brown University1.6911.6%1st Place
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8.83Florida State University0.775.5%1st Place
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6.77Northeastern University1.229.8%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.148.2%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.3%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University1.135.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island0.996.6%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University-0.843.7%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University0.954.8%1st Place
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9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.6%1st Place
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12.24Washington College0.202.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.4%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University0.624.5%1st Place
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10.16University of Wisconsin0.703.5%1st Place
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8.69George Washington University0.935.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Laura Smith | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 20.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 24.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.