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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+9.97vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+3.71vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+5.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+5.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+2.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.75vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+2.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.75vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.70+0.03vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-1.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.13-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.43vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-1.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-8.39vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.33vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.1%1st Place
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5.71Jacksonville University-1.3812.7%1st Place
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8.77Florida State University0.775.6%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island0.998.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.2%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University0.954.8%1st Place
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6.25Brown University1.6910.8%1st Place
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7.59Boston University1.146.2%1st Place
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10.03University of Wisconsin0.703.7%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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12.17Washington College0.202.4%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University1.229.6%1st Place
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10.67Christopher Newport University-0.843.5%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Emily Allen | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 25.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.