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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+6.69vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.77+6.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.62+6.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+1.80vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.00vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+3.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.50vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-2.48vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-1.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-5.43vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-3.84vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-2.80vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69University of Rhode Island0.997.0%1st Place
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8.74Florida State University0.775.9%1st Place
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9.71Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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5.8Jacksonville University-1.3812.0%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.8%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University0.955.1%1st Place
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6.2Brown University1.6910.8%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.9%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.148.1%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.135.0%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.229.8%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Wisconsin0.704.3%1st Place
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12.2Washington College0.202.1%1st Place
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10.72Christopher Newport University-0.843.4%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Emily Allen | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 23.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 20.7% |
| Laura Smith | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.