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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.13+8.40vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+6.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.94vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+1.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+2.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-0.26vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+2.24vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.20+1.21vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.77-3.19vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-7.14vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.37vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.40vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-5.91vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Fordham University1.134.1%1st Place
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8.84George Washington University0.935.7%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.0%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University1.2210.8%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University0.625.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island0.996.9%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University1.146.5%1st Place
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6.08Brown University1.6910.7%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont-0.132.6%1st Place
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12.21Washington College0.202.2%1st Place
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8.81Florida State University0.775.5%1st Place
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5.86Jacksonville University-1.3811.8%1st Place
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10.63Christopher Newport University-0.843.4%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.3%1st Place
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10.09University of Wisconsin0.703.9%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 22.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 20.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Emily Allen | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.