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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+9.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+5.78vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+0.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.43vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-1.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+2.57vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-1.69vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.77-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-5.25vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-6.07vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.1%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.6912.2%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University-1.3812.6%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.0%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University0.935.4%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University1.229.7%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University0.955.7%1st Place
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8.49Florida State University0.776.5%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island0.997.3%1st Place
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10.72Christopher Newport University-0.843.0%1st Place
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7.76Boston University1.146.8%1st Place
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9.93University of Wisconsin0.703.9%1st Place
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12.44Washington College0.201.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Emily Allen | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 22.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Laura Smith | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.