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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+3.54vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+3.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.57+5.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+2.57vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.69+2.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.01vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+6.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.69-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.50-1.33vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.13+2.53vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.50-0.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.79vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.77-4.36vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.60vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.62-5.71vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-6.48vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands0.37-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.98Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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8.88California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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14.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Southern California1.690.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Los Angeles1.500.1%1st Place
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11.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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13.83California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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12.64Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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14.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.29Arizona State University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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14.4California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 23.7% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kivlovitz | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Garrigan | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.