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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+4.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+7.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.13+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.70+5.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+3.74vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.20+5.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-0.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.81vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.77-1.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-6.38vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-6.33vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-6.31vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Jacksonville University-1.3812.6%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.7%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.2%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University1.134.4%1st Place
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10.26University of Wisconsin0.704.7%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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12.32Washington College0.201.7%1st Place
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7.53Boston University1.147.7%1st Place
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6.19Brown University1.6910.3%1st Place
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8.63Florida State University0.775.7%1st Place
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10.78Christopher Newport University-0.842.9%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University1.229.2%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island0.998.0%1st Place
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8.69George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University0.955.5%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont-0.132.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.