Race 2A

south-series-one-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Lippincott 7.7% 8.0% 9.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 7.3% 4.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.9%
Vincent Marchetto 6.6% 6.4% 9.4% 9.0% 7.5% 8.2% 8.5% 10.0% 8.3% 7.7% 5.9% 6.5% 3.1% 2.7% 0.2%
Timothy Harding 8.3% 7.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 10.3% 9.6% 6.4% 4.7% 5.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Max Nickbarg 21.1% 19.3% 13.7% 12.8% 9.6% 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 6.1% 8.1% 6.2% 6.7% 8.4% 8.3% 6.9% 8.1% 10.6% 8.3% 7.7% 6.1% 5.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Adam Ceely 6.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% 5.8% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sean McLaughlin 5.4% 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 6.0% 5.6% 8.1% 8.7% 8.4% 9.6% 9.9% 8.8% 8.4% 6.0% 1.7%
IG Schottlaender 20.2% 17.8% 15.0% 11.8% 11.2% 8.1% 6.4% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Morley 0.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 3.6% 7.0% 6.5% 15.1% 28.4% 21.9%
Martin McDonald 6.5% 5.2% 7.5% 8.5% 9.2% 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 6.7% 6.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Benjmain Berg 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 5.4% 7.0% 6.9% 8.6% 8.6% 10.9% 12.1% 11.3% 5.9%
Molly Haley 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 9.0% 13.5% 15.8% 12.1% 6.4%
Neal Drake 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 6.2% 6.7% 5.6% 5.7% 8.9% 11.5% 13.3% 10.4% 9.5% 2.5%
Michael Rottier 3.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.6% 6.6% 8.1% 10.3% 10.1% 8.6% 10.2% 5.7% 1.0%
Isabelle Malin 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 3.8% 6.3% 16.3% 58.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.