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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+6.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.12vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+5.61vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+5.47vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.31vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-1.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99-1.28vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.20+2.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-4.43vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+0.47vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-3.65vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.26vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-5.66vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-5.99vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Boston University1.147.5%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.6910.8%1st Place
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8.61Florida State University0.776.6%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.6%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.5%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.7%1st Place
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5.82Jacksonville University-1.3811.3%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University0.624.3%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island0.997.2%1st Place
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12.36Washington College0.202.2%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.2210.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont-0.132.4%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University1.134.6%1st Place
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10.74Christopher Newport University-0.843.0%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University0.954.8%1st Place
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10.01University of Wisconsin0.703.6%1st Place
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8.72George Washington University0.935.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Emily Allen | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 21.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 24.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Laura Smith | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.