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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+4.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+5.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+4.90vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+4.60vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.13+4.35vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.88vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.88vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.65vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+0.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.02vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.20+1.27vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-3.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-7.52vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.55vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-7.35vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Jacksonville University-1.3813.4%1st Place
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7.64Boston University1.147.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island0.996.7%1st Place
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8.6Florida State University0.776.2%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University1.134.5%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.6%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.6910.1%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.8%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.5%1st Place
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12.27Washington College0.202.9%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University-0.843.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University1.2210.2%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont-0.132.5%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University0.935.4%1st Place
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10.05University of Wisconsin0.704.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 22.1% |
| Laura Smith | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 23.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.