Race 5A

south-series-one-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Lippincott 7.5% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 10.3% 9.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 6.2% 5.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.9%
Benjmain Berg 3.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 7.7% 7.0% 7.7% 7.5% 8.5% 10.3% 13.4% 10.3% 3.7%
Neal Drake 3.1% 4.9% 4.8% 3.6% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 7.2% 9.4% 9.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 7.3% 2.2%
Devon Rohde 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.4% 8.5% 8.2% 5.9% 4.1% 3.0% 0.7%
IG Schottlaender 20.9% 15.7% 15.7% 13.9% 10.1% 7.5% 5.7% 4.1% 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 7.5% 8.1% 6.9% 9.3% 10.0% 8.6% 9.9% 11.0% 7.2% 6.1% 6.7% 4.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Vincent Marchetto 6.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.1% 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 6.0% 6.6% 3.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Martin McDonald 5.6% 7.0% 9.1% 8.8% 7.0% 9.1% 7.5% 7.9% 9.4% 7.7% 7.7% 6.6% 3.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Timothy Harding 6.8% 7.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.0% 7.5% 10.1% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
Michael Rottier 3.3% 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 8.7% 7.9% 8.9% 10.3% 9.4% 9.6% 6.1% 1.9%
Max Nickbarg 21.1% 19.2% 14.3% 10.9% 9.1% 7.5% 6.3% 4.6% 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Haley 2.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.2% 9.7% 12.4% 16.4% 13.9% 5.1%
Sean McLaughlin 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 4.8% 6.2% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 10.2% 11.2% 10.4% 8.9% 7.6% 1.8%
Isabelle Malin 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 8.3% 16.8% 57.6%
Samuel Morley 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 11.3% 26.5% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.