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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+5.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+5.72vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+6.40vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+2.85vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-0.15vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.15vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+2.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+2.42vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-2.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.95-2.47vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.77-4.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.73vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-3.02vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.25vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Brown University1.6911.6%1st Place
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7.72Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.8%1st Place
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6.4Northeastern University1.229.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island0.997.2%1st Place
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5.85Jacksonville University-1.3811.5%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.2%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University0.624.4%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University1.135.6%1st Place
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12.42University of Vermont-0.132.2%1st Place
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8.79George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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8.92Florida State University0.775.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.292.6%1st Place
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11.98Washington College0.202.2%1st Place
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10.75Christopher Newport University-0.843.5%1st Place
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9.85University of Wisconsin0.703.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Emily Allen | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 23.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.8% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.