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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+6.10vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+4.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+1.64vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+4.15vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.31+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36+3.23vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65+1.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97-1.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.54vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.82-3.36vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.05-1.09vs Predicted
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13Boston University-1.31+1.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-4.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-7.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.72vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Northeastern University1.187.9%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University1.077.5%1st Place
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4.64Brown University1.8516.6%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University0.716.6%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University1.319.8%1st Place
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9.23University of Wisconsin0.364.2%1st Place
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8.81Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
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9.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.2%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University0.978.6%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.3%1st Place
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7.64Jacksonville University0.827.0%1st Place
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10.91Florida State University0.052.9%1st Place
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14.48Boston University-1.310.5%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont0.484.3%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island0.797.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.5%1st Place
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16.57Washington College-3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 48.4% | 12.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 1.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 9.4% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.