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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+3.62vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.82+5.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+3.09vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+3.12vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+3.86vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.79+0.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+0.17vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.05+0.97vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-2.10vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-3.74vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-5.68vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-4.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.87vs Predicted
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16Washington College-3.22+0.59vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Brown University1.8516.5%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University0.826.8%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University1.319.7%1st Place
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7.12George Washington University1.077.7%1st Place
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8.86Christopher Newport University0.654.8%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island0.798.2%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.3%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont0.484.7%1st Place
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10.97Florida State University0.052.6%1st Place
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8.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.6%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University0.716.2%1st Place
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7.32Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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9.24University of Wisconsin0.364.5%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.8%1st Place
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16.59Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
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14.4Boston University-1.310.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 16.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 0.9% |
| Brook Wood | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 1.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 7.3% | 86.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 52.1% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.