Race 8A

south-series-one-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adam Ceely 8.7% 7.1% 8.5% 10.8% 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 9.5% 8.1% 6.4% 6.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Vincent Marchetto 5.5% 7.6% 6.9% 10.2% 8.1% 10.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.0% 7.3% 7.5% 5.7% 3.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Martin McDonald 6.4% 8.0% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 8.4% 9.1% 10.1% 8.6% 7.6% 6.9% 5.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Devon Rohde 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 9.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.9% 5.6% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Robert Lippincott 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 6.9% 9.7% 9.1% 8.0% 10.9% 7.8% 8.0% 5.3% 4.5% 4.1% 2.5% 0.1%
Max Nickbarg 19.8% 17.4% 17.7% 12.1% 10.5% 7.6% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjmain Berg 4.2% 3.2% 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 7.9% 9.9% 12.3% 12.6% 9.7% 4.7%
Timothy Harding 7.2% 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.5% 6.7% 3.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4%
IG Schottlaender 20.9% 18.3% 16.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 5.6% 3.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Haley 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 5.8% 7.1% 7.5% 8.9% 13.0% 12.8% 14.8% 5.1%
Sean McLaughlin 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 7.9% 6.8% 8.8% 8.3% 10.4% 7.6% 11.1% 5.1% 3.1%
Neal Drake 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 7.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 12.4% 7.7% 2.2%
Michael Rottier 3.7% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 6.3% 7.8% 5.3% 8.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.2%
Samuel Morley 0.9% 1.3% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.6% 1.7% 3.7% 3.5% 5.7% 4.9% 8.7% 11.5% 28.0% 23.7%
Isabelle Malin 0.7% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 5.7% 6.7% 16.7% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.