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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.71+6.87vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+4.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+5.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+2.46vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31-1.19vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.12+1.06vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.25+1.41vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.87vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.97-4.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-7.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.97vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.55vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Fordham University0.716.3%1st Place
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6.75George Washington University1.078.6%1st Place
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4.35Brown University1.8517.8%1st Place
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9.06University of Wisconsin0.364.7%1st Place
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7.46Jacksonville University0.826.5%1st Place
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8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.5%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University1.3110.5%1st Place
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8.7Christopher Newport University0.654.7%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island0.123.4%1st Place
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11.41Florida State University-0.251.7%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.5%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University0.978.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont0.485.7%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.2%1st Place
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14.45Boston University-1.310.9%1st Place
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16.5Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 47.9% | 13.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 10.4% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.