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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.41+6.05vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+4.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+0.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.62+3.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-1.48vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-1.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.96-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.81-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.64-0.64vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.10-2.37vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.49-7.05vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-14.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.71Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.04University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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13.63Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.95Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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3.82Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Marchetto | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 21.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjmain Berg | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Martin McDonald | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Neal Drake | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Morley | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 29.5% | 23.0% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 59.0% |
| Molly Haley | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 20.2% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.