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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+5.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+4.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+8.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+0.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+3.00vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82+1.37vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97-0.03vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+0.67vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-2.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.36-2.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.09vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-3.83vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.84vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-0.25-4.91vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Northeastern University1.188.9%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University1.319.8%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.2%1st Place
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4.53Brown University1.8516.4%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University0.715.3%1st Place
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7.37Jacksonville University0.828.1%1st Place
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6.97Old Dominion University0.978.1%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
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6.88George Washington University1.079.2%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Wisconsin0.364.9%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont0.484.9%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.123.1%1st Place
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14.16Boston University-1.310.9%1st Place
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11.09Florida State University-0.252.6%1st Place
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16.61Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucia Loosbrock | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Tavia Smith | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 0.6% |
Laura Hamilton | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Agija Elerte | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
Marissa Tegeder | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Brook Wood | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
Audrey Commerford | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
Ariana Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 46.7% | 11.6% |
Lauren Connell | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 1.8% |
Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 9.2% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.