Race 10A

south-series-one-salve-regina

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Max Nickbarg 20.2% 20.7% 13.3% 14.7% 8.2% 7.5% 5.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.1% 7.2% 9.8% 8.4% 10.0% 8.5% 10.0% 8.1% 7.4% 7.2% 6.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Vincent Marchetto 7.2% 5.4% 8.3% 9.2% 6.5% 8.3% 9.5% 8.7% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 5.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
IG Schottlaender 20.9% 17.9% 15.8% 11.1% 10.3% 8.8% 6.3% 4.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.4% 7.5% 6.9% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 7.9% 6.8% 7.0% 4.5% 2.5% 0.8%
Martin McDonald 6.0% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 6.6% 6.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Timothy Harding 8.4% 7.1% 9.1% 7.5% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 9.0% 6.8% 7.1% 6.4% 5.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Adam Ceely 7.6% 8.0% 9.5% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 9.5% 8.1% 7.3% 6.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Neal Drake 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 9.0% 8.7% 9.5% 11.5% 10.1% 7.3% 2.3%
Benjmain Berg 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.7% 4.3% 6.9% 6.7% 8.7% 10.4% 11.5% 13.3% 10.5% 4.6%
Sean McLaughlin 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 5.3% 6.7% 5.5% 8.5% 6.9% 9.4% 8.1% 9.2% 8.6% 9.7% 6.8% 2.0%
Michael Rottier 3.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 5.3% 7.5% 9.5% 10.0% 11.3% 9.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.0%
Samuel Morley 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 2.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.3% 7.2% 12.3% 28.5% 25.7%
Isabelle Malin 0.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 5.0% 7.0% 17.5% 56.6%
Molly Haley 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 4.5% 2.9% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 6.7% 8.5% 8.3% 12.1% 15.1% 13.5% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.