← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.07+5.70vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.65+6.71vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University0.71+4.72vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.01+2.69vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.31+0.90vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.82+1.29vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.48+1.85vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.36-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.39vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.18-4.34vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University0.97-5.20vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.05-2.45vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.12-4.20vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.93vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.31-1.79vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.22-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.7George Washington University1.0710.1%1st Place
-
8.71Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
-
7.72Fordham University0.717.8%1st Place
-
6.69Brown University1.019.6%1st Place
-
5.9Roger Williams University1.3110.9%1st Place
-
7.29Jacksonville University0.827.2%1st Place
-
8.85University of Vermont0.484.6%1st Place
-
8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.9%1st Place
-
8.9University of Wisconsin0.365.3%1st Place
-
8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.5%1st Place
-
6.66Northeastern University1.188.6%1st Place
-
6.8Old Dominion University0.979.3%1st Place
-
10.55Florida State University0.052.9%1st Place
-
9.8University of Rhode Island0.124.3%1st Place
-
11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.5%1st Place
-
14.21Boston University-1.310.7%1st Place
-
16.51Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 1.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 48.6% | 11.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 7.5% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.