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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+5.73vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+3.85vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.82+4.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+7.00vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+4.13vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.01-0.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-1.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-1.16vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.35vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65-2.52vs Predicted
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12Boston University-1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.36vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-6.07vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-4.44vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.12-5.80vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Old Dominion University0.978.9%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University1.3111.5%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University0.827.8%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.2%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin0.364.8%1st Place
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6.69George Washington University1.078.9%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.018.8%1st Place
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6.74Northeastern University1.188.9%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University0.717.0%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.9%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University0.656.0%1st Place
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14.21Boston University-1.311.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont0.485.1%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.8%1st Place
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10.56Florida State University0.053.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.123.0%1st Place
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16.48Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 46.8% | 11.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 8.6% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.