Race 11A

south-series-one-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Max Nickbarg 21.7% 21.4% 12.6% 11.7% 8.9% 8.3% 5.8% 3.8% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 6.1% 6.2% 9.8% 8.7% 8.3% 8.7% 7.9% 8.3% 8.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Martin McDonald 6.5% 6.8% 6.8% 9.8% 7.7% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.9% 8.2% 9.1% 8.8% 9.6% 6.4% 9.3% 9.2% 9.9% 6.7% 6.7% 3.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1%
IG Schottlaender 19.8% 15.8% 16.5% 14.3% 9.5% 8.8% 5.0% 4.3% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjmain Berg 2.4% 3.5% 3.1% 3.1% 5.2% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 12.8% 12.0% 10.8% 4.1%
Sean McLaughlin 4.4% 5.0% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 8.9% 10.8% 8.3% 7.8% 6.2% 2.1%
Adam Ceely 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 8.0% 10.0% 8.7% 7.7% 7.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Neal Drake 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 5.3% 4.9% 8.1% 6.3% 7.4% 7.9% 9.3% 10.2% 9.7% 11.7% 6.7% 2.7%
Devon Rohde 5.7% 5.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.7% 9.2% 8.1% 9.5% 8.2% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8%
Timothy Harding 7.5% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 9.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 7.5% 6.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Michael Rottier 3.8% 3.4% 3.3% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 8.0% 7.9% 10.2% 8.5% 11.1% 10.9% 5.5% 2.2%
Samuel Morley 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 12.3% 28.1% 25.8%
Isabelle Malin 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 4.5% 8.0% 17.8% 56.4%
Molly Haley 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.1% 5.2% 5.6% 8.3% 8.5% 12.6% 14.1% 13.9% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.