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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Vermont2.58+4.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+3.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57-0.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-1.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54-1.38vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.81-2.06vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.62-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.96-4.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-5.28vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.64-2.66vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.10-3.44vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.49-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.68Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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3.82Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.62Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.94University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island0.640.0%1st Place
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13.56Sacred Heart University-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.96Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ceely | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 22.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 19.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Neal Drake | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Benjmain Berg | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Morley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 28.5% | 25.4% |
| Isabelle Malin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 56.2% |
| Molly Haley | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.