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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.12+8.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+2.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+3.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+4.18vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-0.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-0.93vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.25+2.28vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.69vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.71-8.25vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Brown University1.8518.2%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.123.7%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University1.3110.5%1st Place
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7.32Jacksonville University0.828.0%1st Place
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6.85Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont0.243.0%1st Place
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6.9George Washington University1.077.6%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University0.978.1%1st Place
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11.28Florida State University-0.252.0%1st Place
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8.49Christopher Newport University0.655.8%1st Place
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8.9University of Wisconsin0.364.6%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.835.7%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.2%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.1%1st Place
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14.31Boston University-1.310.7%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University0.715.8%1st Place
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16.52Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 18.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Connell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 1.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 45.6% | 11.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 8.6% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.