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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+3.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+3.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.12+6.09vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+3.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+0.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+0.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-1.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.11vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.82-2.47vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-2.25vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-0.25-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-3.99vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-4.88vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.77vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Brown University1.8517.9%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University1.3110.0%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University0.716.7%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island0.123.8%1st Place
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8.35Christopher Newport University0.655.7%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University1.078.4%1st Place
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7.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.0%1st Place
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6.94Old Dominion University0.978.6%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University1.189.0%1st Place
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7.53Jacksonville University0.827.3%1st Place
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8.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.3%1st Place
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11.3Florida State University-0.252.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Wisconsin0.364.2%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.8%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont0.242.6%1st Place
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14.23Boston University-1.310.6%1st Place
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16.51Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Connell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 44.8% | 11.7% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 8.5% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.