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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+5.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+6.68vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+5.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+1.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.12+4.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+3.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-3.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71-1.08vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97-3.11vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-3.57vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.82-4.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-3.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-7.31vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-0.25-3.67vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.86vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78George Washington University1.078.3%1st Place
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8.68Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Wisconsin0.364.9%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.3110.2%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.8%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.2%1st Place
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4.63Brown University1.8514.4%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University0.716.9%1st Place
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6.89Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.6%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University0.827.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont0.243.8%1st Place
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6.69Northeastern University1.1810.0%1st Place
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11.33Florida State University-0.253.0%1st Place
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14.14Boston University-1.310.9%1st Place
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16.56Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 47.7% | 9.9% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 7.8% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.