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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.96+3.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+2.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.03+2.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.72+1.05vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-4.50vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-3.61vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-4.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.41-1.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.41vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.21-2.20vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.52-7.42vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-1.00-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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4.05Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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3.5Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.37Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.8Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.58University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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13.77Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bothwick | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 21.4% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Luke Puk | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 10.6% |
| Peter Markarian | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 7.0% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 32.0% | 23.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 19.2% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.