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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+6.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+4.78vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.65+5.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+2.78vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+2.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.36+0.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-1.04vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-4.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.90vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-7.19vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.66vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.05-5.37vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Old Dominion University0.977.6%1st Place
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6.78Brown University1.018.6%1st Place
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8.59Christopher Newport University0.655.8%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University1.189.1%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University0.828.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University1.3111.8%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont0.485.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Wisconsin0.364.3%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.0%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.4%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island0.124.5%1st Place
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7.65Fordham University0.717.9%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.8%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University1.078.9%1st Place
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14.34Boston University-1.310.9%1st Place
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10.63Florida State University0.052.9%1st Place
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16.53Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Brook Wood | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 47.7% | 12.4% |
| Niah Ford | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 0.7% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 9.1% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.