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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+3.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.03+2.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07+1.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29-0.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.96-3.34vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-5.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-4.74vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.52-4.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.45vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.21-2.22vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-1.00-2.13vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.41-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.030.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.66Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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3.59Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.67University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.78Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.87Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 17.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Duncan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 23.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Will Humphrey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Markarian | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 7.7% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 29.4% | 24.5% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 57.3% |
| Luke Puk | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.