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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+5.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.01+4.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.12+6.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+2.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36+1.89vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.97-2.14vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65-1.59vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-3.20vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-4.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.93vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-4.56vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.78vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Northeastern University1.188.2%1st Place
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6.75Brown University1.017.9%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.8%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island0.123.8%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University0.716.6%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University1.3112.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Wisconsin0.365.3%1st Place
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7.59Jacksonville University0.827.3%1st Place
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6.86Old Dominion University0.978.8%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University0.655.7%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University1.079.2%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont0.485.0%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.564.9%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.5%1st Place
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10.44Florida State University0.053.3%1st Place
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14.22Boston University-1.310.7%1st Place
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16.52Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Agija Elerte | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| Niah Ford | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 45.7% | 12.6% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 8.5% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.