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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.96+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.03+5.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.72+4.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-2.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.07-0.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.68-2.67vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-3.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35-2.90vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.43vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-1.00-1.06vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.21-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.41-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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8.01University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.47Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.1University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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13.94Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.64Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bothwick | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 21.4% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| William Dykes | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Peter Markarian | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 7.6% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 60.1% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 28.3% | 21.4% |
| Luke Puk | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.