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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.82+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+6.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+5.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+2.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85-0.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+1.01vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.25+4.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-0.55vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-3.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48-2.18vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.97-4.89vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.08vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-4.69vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.71vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Jacksonville University0.827.4%1st Place
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8.99University of Wisconsin0.364.7%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University0.715.8%1st Place
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6.87George Washington University1.078.1%1st Place
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4.5Brown University1.8517.3%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University1.187.4%1st Place
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11.37Florida State University-0.251.9%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.566.2%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University1.3110.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont0.484.9%1st Place
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7.11Old Dominion University0.977.3%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.3%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University0.655.5%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island0.123.1%1st Place
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14.29Boston University-1.310.9%1st Place
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16.55Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agija Elerte | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 17.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Connell | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 1.6% |
| Lina Carper | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brook Wood | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 45.6% | 13.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 10.2% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.