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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.72vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+2.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+0.43vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+2.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.03+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.720.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-3.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14-0.40vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.07-3.94vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.21+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-3.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.41-3.60vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-1.00-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.5Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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3.43Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.37Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.18Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.35Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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12.68Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.28University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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13.81Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Cefali | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 13.7% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 22.4% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 28.6% | 24.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Markarian | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 8.7% |
| Luke Puk | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 7.1% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.