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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.12+8.20vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+3.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+4.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.36+2.93vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71+0.87vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-0.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-2.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-3.02vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.82-3.48vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-3.41vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-0.25-1.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-7.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.99vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-1.52vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Brown University1.8518.6%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.123.8%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University1.319.7%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.565.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont0.484.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Wisconsin0.364.2%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University0.717.0%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.3%1st Place
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6.94George Washington University1.078.2%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University1.188.1%1st Place
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7.52Jacksonville University0.826.3%1st Place
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8.59Christopher Newport University0.654.7%1st Place
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11.31Florida State University-0.252.1%1st Place
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7.0Old Dominion University0.977.8%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.4%1st Place
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14.48Boston University-1.310.5%1st Place
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16.6Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Connell | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 1.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 49.4% | 11.3% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 8.8% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.