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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+9.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.16+9.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+3.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+4.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.45+3.64vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06+4.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+1.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-2.51vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01+1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-1.53vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.71-2.81vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.95-4.70vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.54-4.43vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.60-5.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.85vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.60-7.70vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.67-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University1.162.5%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College1.958.1%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University1.505.8%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College1.456.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.063.6%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College1.486.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.3711.8%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.426.4%1st Place
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8.19Webb Institute1.717.6%1st Place
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7.3Boston College1.958.2%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University1.546.1%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.6%1st Place
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8.3Boston College1.606.3%1st Place
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11.98Bates College0.672.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 18.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Connor Macken | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Emma Wang | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.