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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.29+5.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+4.92vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07+3.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.03+0.15vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.16-3.89vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-3.66vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44-6.54vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.21+1.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-3.73vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.41-4.60vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-1.00-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.53Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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4.11Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.46Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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12.65Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.27University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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13.81Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 22.0% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 29.0% | 23.1% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| William Dykes | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Markarian | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 8.8% |
| Luke Puk | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 7.5% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.