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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+9.43vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.50+6.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+7.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+4.42vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+3.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37-0.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+4.67vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.45+0.59vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.95-1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.60-1.68vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.71-2.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.54-3.57vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-2.83vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.60-5.73vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.67-3.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-8.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.43University of Vermont1.063.5%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University1.505.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.514.3%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.425.5%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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5.43Brown University2.3713.0%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University1.162.5%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College1.456.5%1st Place
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7.31Boston College1.958.2%1st Place
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8.32Boston College1.606.2%1st Place
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8.23Webb Institute1.716.5%1st Place
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8.43Fordham University1.546.4%1st Place
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10.17Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University1.606.5%1st Place
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11.89Bates College0.672.6%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College1.959.2%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Connor Macken | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Jack Roman | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.