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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+4.91vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.03+2.16vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68-0.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.16-2.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+0.99vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96-4.40vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44-6.59vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.07-4.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.41-1.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-2.57vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.21-3.36vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-1.00-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.030.0%1st Place
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5.39Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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8.99University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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4.6Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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3.41Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.64Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.8Sacred Heart University-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Cefali | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 12.3% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 23.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Puk | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 8.3% |
| Peter Markarian | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 8.7% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 25.7% | 23.7% |
| Torkel Knutson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 20.3% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.