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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.95+6.40vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54+6.63vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.50+5.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.37+1.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+6.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.01+3.97vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.06+2.36vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.71-0.89vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.60-2.85vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.95-5.17vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.60-4.71vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-3.92vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.45-6.12vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.42-7.47vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.67-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Boston College1.958.4%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.546.6%1st Place
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8.99Fordham University1.505.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.3712.7%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University1.162.2%1st Place
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9.97Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont1.064.5%1st Place
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8.11Webb Institute1.716.7%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.5%1st Place
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8.15Boston College1.607.1%1st Place
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6.83Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University1.606.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College1.455.9%1st Place
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8.53Brown University1.426.6%1st Place
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11.83Bates College0.672.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 19.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
| Ryan McGauley | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Roman | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Connor Macken | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.