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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+9.07vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71+6.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+4.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+7.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+3.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+2.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.45+1.92vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01+2.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.60-0.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16+1.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.42-2.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.37-6.65vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.54-4.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-3.93vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-7.95vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.67-4.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.50-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07University of Vermont1.064.3%1st Place
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8.05Webb Institute1.716.2%1st Place
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7.34Boston College1.958.8%1st Place
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11.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.0%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College1.486.5%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College1.454.6%1st Place
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10.08Boston University1.013.6%1st Place
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8.43Boston College1.606.2%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University1.162.5%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.426.7%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.3713.4%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University1.546.4%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.515.5%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College1.958.0%1st Place
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11.97Bates College0.672.6%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University1.504.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.1% |
| Connor Macken | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.